4 Aug · 22:20 MESZLow · Slight Edge
MB
🇵🇱Marian Brunner
ELO 1418
FormWLLLL
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Delikatny
KD
🇵🇱Kamil Delikatny
ELO 1451
FormLWLLW
46%
54%
Fair odds · Delikatny
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 57% · 1.76· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~77 pts
1-3
21%
3-1
18%
0-3
17%
2-3
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+33
H2H17-9
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.