4 Aug · 22:45 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
DM
🇵🇱Dariusz Molenda
ELO 1793
FormWWLWW
66%Win chancemodel fair 1.52Molenda
HT
🇵🇱Henryk Tkaczyk
ELO 1641
FormLLWWL
66%
34%
Fair odds · Molenda
Model 66% · 1.52vsMarket 62% · 1.62· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 50%Total ~77 pts
3-1
26%
3-0
24%
3-2
16%
1-3
13%
2-3
12%
Elo Gap+152
H2H15-12
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+152)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (15-12)