4 Aug · 23:30 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
MB
🇵🇱Marian Brunner
ELO 1409
FormLLWLL
85%Win chancemodel fair 1.18Molenda
DM
🇵🇱Dariusz Molenda
ELO 1793
FormWWLWW
15%
85%
Fair odds · Molenda
Model 85% · 1.18vsMarket 81% · 1.24· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 72%Total ~72 pts
0-3
42%
1-3
30%
2-3
13%
3-2
7%
3-1
5%
Elo Gap+384
H2H12-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+384)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (12-2)