4 Aug · 22:45 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
TW
🇵🇱Tomasz Wrzalik
ELO 1392
FormLLLLW
69%Win chancemodel fair 1.45Polok
PP
🇵🇱Pawel Polok
ELO 1574
FormWWWLL
31%
69%
Fair odds · Polok
Model 69% · 1.45vsMarket 52% · 1.94· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 52%Total ~74 pts
1-3
27%
0-3
25%
2-3
17%
3-1
12%
3-2
11%
Elo Gap+182
H2H0-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+182)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)