5 Aug · 02:10 MESZMedium · Model Lean
AF
🇵🇱Adrian Fabis
ELO 1316
FormLLWWL
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Fabis
WG
🇵🇱Wojciech Gluszek
ELO 1262
FormLLLLW
56%
44%
🌟Gluszek rarely covers set handicap as underdog 31% (13)
Fair odds · Fabis
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 43% · 2.31· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~79 pts
3-1
22%
3-0
18%
1-3
18%
3-2
16%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+54
H2H3-4
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+54)