5 Aug · 04:00 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
MT
🇵🇱Marek Tkocz
ELO 1621
FormWLLWW
75%Win chancemodel fair 1.33Tkocz
TW
🇵🇱Tomasz Wrzalik
ELO 1372
FormLLLLL
75%
25%
Fair odds · Tkocz
Model 75% · 1.33vsMarket 82% · 1.22· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 60%Total ~74 pts
3-0
32%
3-1
27%
3-2
16%
2-3
10%
1-3
9%
Elo Gap+249
H2H32-3
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+249)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (32-3)