5 Aug · 03:55 MESZMedium · Model Lean
JS
🇵🇱Jakub Skorupa
ELO 1530
FormWLWLL
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Nocun
ZN
🇵🇱Zbigniew Nocun
ELO 1612
FormWWWWL
41%
59%
🌟Nocun stays under total as favourite 68% (37)
Fair odds · Nocun
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 68% · 1.47· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 42%Total ~77 pts
1-3
23%
0-3
19%
2-3
17%
3-1
16%
3-2
13%
Elo Gap+82
H2H22-15
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+82)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (22-15)