5 Aug · 03:30 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
KD
🇵🇱Kamil Delikatny
ELO 1470
FormLWWWL
69%Win chancemodel fair 1.45Tkaczyk
HT
🇵🇱Henryk Tkaczyk
ELO 1651
FormWWLWL
31%
69%
🌟Tkaczyk stays under total as favourite 71% (45)
Fair odds · Tkaczyk
Model 69% · 1.45vsMarket 59% · 1.69· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 52%Total ~75 pts
1-3
27%
0-3
25%
2-3
17%
3-1
12%
3-2
11%
Elo Gap+181
H2H19-16
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+181)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (19-16)