5 Aug · 05:05 MESZMedium · Model Lean
JS
🇵🇱Jakub Skorupa
ELO 1530
FormWLWLL
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Skorupa
KD
🇵🇱Kamil Delikatny
ELO 1470
FormLWWWL
57%
43%
🌟Skorupa goes over total as favourite 62% (37)
Fair odds · Skorupa
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 62% · 1.60· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~77 pts
3-1
22%
3-0
18%
1-3
17%
3-2
16%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+60
H2H8-3
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+60)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (8-3)