5 Aug · 04:45 MESZMedium · Model Lean
PG
🇵🇱Piotr Gumulinski
ELO 1617
FormWLWWW
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Gumulinski
PP
🇵🇱Pawel Polok
ELO 1572
FormWLLWW
55%
45%
Fair odds · Gumulinski
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 44% · 2.29· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~77 pts
3-1
22%
1-3
18%
3-0
17%
3-2
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+45
H2H0-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+45)