05 Aug · 09:55 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
JP
🇵🇱Jerzy Pelka
ELO 1472
2-3Final setsGajda won
RG
🇵🇱Rafal Gajda
ELO 1403
What the model said
Before the match, the model favoured Pelka at 56%. The actual result was Rafal Gajda 2-3 — the underdog won.
How the markets settled
The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.
Match winner
Jerzy Pelka favoured — closing 1.35
Total 75.5
102 points played
Set handicap
Jerzy Pelka −1.5 sets
Points handicap
Jerzy Pelka −6.5 points
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Win probability
Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Jerzy Pelka is favoured to win, below means Rafal Gajda.
▲ Jerzy Pelkapre 60% → final 24%
Rafal Gajda ▼
Biggest swing 70 ptsGajda recovered from 8%72 points · 5 games