Kamil Smolka vs Rafal Gajda — TT Elite Series

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05 Aug · 10:40 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct

🇵🇱Kamil Smolka

ELO 1521

3-1Final setsSmolka won

🇵🇱Rafal Gajda

ELO 1394

What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Smolka at 59%. The actual result was Kamil Smolka 3-1 — the pick was correct.

Kamil Smolka — profile →Rafal Gajda — profile →Head-to-head →

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner

Kamil Smolka favoured — closing 1.27

Favourite won

Total 73.5

72 points played

Under

Set handicap

Kamil Smolka −1.5 sets

Covered

Points handicap

Kamil Smolka −7.5 points

No cover

Total sets 4.5

over / under

Under

Exact score

market priced 3-1 at close

Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Kamil Smolka is favoured to win, below means Rafal Gajda.

▲ Kamil Smolkapre 63% → final 99%

Rafal Gajda ▼

Biggest swing 49 pts71 points · 4 games