5 Aug · 13:55 MESZMedium · Model Lean
GJ
🇵🇱Grzegorz Jurowicz
ELO 1401
FormLLWLW
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Pelka
JP
🇵🇱Jerzy Pelka
ELO 1472
FormLLWWL
42%
58%
Fair odds · Pelka
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 60% · 1.67· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~76 pts
1-3
23%
0-3
18%
3-1
17%
2-3
17%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+71
H2H22-23
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+71)