5 Aug · 14:20 MESZMedium · Model Lean
KS
🇵🇱Kamil Smolka
ELO 1521
FormWWLLL
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Adamus
KA
🇵🇱Kacper Adamus
ELO 1600
FormWWWWW
41%
59%
Fair odds · Adamus
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 46% · 2.20· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 42%Total ~78 pts
1-3
23%
0-3
19%
2-3
17%
3-1
16%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+79
H2H19-28
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+79)
- ✓Better recent form (5-0)