5 Aug · 19:45 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
ZN
🇵🇱Zbigniew Nocun
ELO 1621
FormWWLWW
76%Win chancemodel fair 1.32Nocun
AS
🇵🇱Adam Staniczek
ELO 1355
FormWLLLL
76%
24%
🌟Nocun stays under total as favourite 68% (37)
Fair odds · Nocun
Model 76% · 1.32vsMarket 62% · 1.61· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 61%Total ~74 pts
3-0
33%
3-1
28%
3-2
16%
2-3
10%
1-3
9%
Elo Gap+266
H2H25-6
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+266)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (25-6)