5 Aug · 18:05 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
MK
🇵🇱Maciej Kolek
ELO 1589
FormWLLWL
69%Win chancemodel fair 1.45Kolodziej
KK
🇵🇱Krystian Kolodziej
ELO 1773
FormLWWLW
31%
69%
Fair odds · Kolodziej
Model 69% · 1.45vsMarket 79% · 1.27· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 52%Total ~75 pts
1-3
27%
0-3
25%
2-3
17%
3-1
12%
3-2
11%
Elo Gap+184
H2H19-4
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+184)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (19-4)