5 Aug · 15:10 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
KA
🇵🇱Kacper Adamus
ELO 1606
FormWWWWW
71%Win chancemodel fair 1.41Adamus
RG
🇵🇱Rafal Gajda
ELO 1403
FormWLWLL
71%
29%
Fair odds · Adamus
Model 71% · 1.41vsMarket 51% · 1.97· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 56%Total ~77 pts
3-0
31%
3-1
26%
3-2
15%
2-3
12%
1-3
11%
Elo Gap+203
H2H49-52
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+203)
- ✓Better recent form (5-0)