5 Aug · 15:05 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
BW
🇵🇱Blazej Warpas
ELO 1375
FormLLLLL
73%Win chancemodel fair 1.37Wisniewski
KW
🇵🇱Karol Wisniewski
ELO 1602
FormWWWWL
27%
73%
🌟Wisniewski rarely covers set handicap as favourite 21% (34)
Fair odds · Wisniewski
Model 73% · 1.37vsMarket 71% · 1.40· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 58%Total ~75 pts
0-3
31%
1-3
27%
2-3
15%
3-2
11%
3-1
10%
Elo Gap+227
H2H0-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+227)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)