5 Aug · 15:25 MESZMedium · Model Lean
GP
🇵🇱Grzegorz Poliniewicz
ELO 1618
FormLLLLL
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Wloczko
KW
🇵🇱Krzysztof Wloczko
ELO 1683
FormWLWLW
43%
57%
Fair odds · Wloczko
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 56% · 1.77· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~78 pts
1-3
22%
0-3
18%
3-1
17%
2-3
17%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+65
H2H44-33
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+65)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (44-33)