5 Aug · 19:40 MESZMedium · Model Lean
MK
🇵🇱Maciej Kolek
ELO 1589
FormWLLWL
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Kolek
LP
🇵🇱Lukasz Pietraszko
ELO 1547
FormWLLWL
55%
45%
🌟Kolek goes over total as favourite 75% (28)
Fair odds · Kolek
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 49% · 2.06· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~77 pts
3-1
21%
1-3
18%
3-0
17%
3-2
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+42
H2H3-3
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+42)