5 Aug · 16:20 MESZLow · Slight Edge
JZ
🇵🇱Jakub Zochniak
ELO 1534
FormWWWLL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Zochniak
MM
🇵🇱Michal Minda
ELO 1521
FormWLWWW
52%
48%
🌟Zochniak rarely covers set handicap as favourite 34% (29)
Fair odds · Zochniak
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~78 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
19%
3-0
16%
2-3
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+13
H2H50-39
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.