5 Aug · 17:05 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
GJ
🇵🇱Grzegorz Jurowicz
ELO 1396
FormWLLLL
61%Win chancemodel fair 1.64Smolka
KS
🇵🇱Kamil Smolka
ELO 1500
FormLLLWW
39%
61%
Fair odds · Smolka
Model 61% · 1.64vsMarket 57% · 1.76· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 46%Total ~76 pts
1-3
24%
0-3
22%
3-1
15%
2-3
15%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+104
H2H15-8
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+104)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (15-8)