5 Aug · 17:55 MESZMedium · Model Lean
JP
🇵🇱Jerzy Pelka
ELO 1486
FormWWLLW
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Pelka
RG
🇵🇱Rafal Gajda
ELO 1413
FormLWWLW
58%
42%
Fair odds · Pelka
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 65% · 1.54· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~78 pts
3-1
23%
3-0
18%
3-2
17%
1-3
17%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+73
H2H11-12
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+73)