5 Aug · 18:20 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
GJ
🇵🇱Grzegorz Jurowicz
ELO 1396
FormWLLLL
70%Win chancemodel fair 1.43Adamus
KA
🇵🇱Kacper Adamus
ELO 1588
FormLWWWW
30%
70%
Fair odds · Adamus
Model 70% · 1.43vsMarket 68% · 1.46· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 56%Total ~75 pts
0-3
30%
1-3
25%
2-3
14%
3-2
12%
3-1
11%
Elo Gap+192
H2H37-18
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+192)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (37-18)