5 Aug · 18:15 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
WG
🇵🇱Wojciech Gluszek
ELO 1265
FormWLLLL
63%Win chancemodel fair 1.59Kowalczyk
MK
🇵🇱Marcin Kowalczyk
ELO 1384
FormWWLLL
37%
63%
🌟Kowalczyk rarely covers set handicap as favourite 23% (26)
Fair odds · Kowalczyk
Model 63% · 1.59vsMarket 59% · 1.68· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 47%Total ~77 pts
1-3
24%
0-3
23%
2-3
16%
3-1
15%
3-2
13%
Elo Gap+119
H2H9-8
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+119)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (9-8)