6 Aug · 05:00 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
RG
🇵🇱Rafal Gajda
ELO 1421
FormWLWWL
66%Win chancemodel fair 1.52Gajda
KK
🇵🇱Kamil Kowalski
ELO 1272
FormLLLLL
66%
34%
Fair odds · Gajda
Model 66% · 1.52vsMarket 62% · 1.61· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 50%Total ~77 pts
3-1
26%
3-0
24%
3-2
16%
1-3
13%
2-3
12%
Elo Gap+149
H2H1-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+149)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)