Rafal Idaczyk vs Mariusz Baron — TT Elite Series

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05 Aug · 17:10 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed

🇵🇱Rafal Idaczyk

ELO 1439

3-2Final setsIdaczyk won

🇵🇱Mariusz Baron

ELO 1445

What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Baron at 50%. The actual result was Rafal Idaczyk 3-2 — the underdog won.

Rafal Idaczyk — profile →Mariusz Baron — profile →Head-to-head →

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner

Rafal Idaczyk favoured — closing 1.85

Favourite won

Set handicap

Rafal Idaczyk −1.5 sets

No cover

Points handicap

Rafal Idaczyk −0.5 points

Covered

Total sets 4.5

over / under

Over

Exact score

market priced 3-2 at close

4.15

Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Rafal Idaczyk is favoured to win, below means Mariusz Baron.

▲ Rafal Idaczykpre 54% → final 70%

Mariusz Baron ▼

Biggest swing 87 ptsIdaczyk recovered from 9%72 points · 5 games