5 Aug · 20:00 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
JP
🇵🇱Jakub Pruszkowski
ELO 1600
FormWWLWL
67%Win chancemodel fair 1.49Pruszkowski
RI
🇵🇱Rafal Idaczyk
ELO 1439
FormWWLLL
67%
33%
🌟Idaczyk stays under total as underdog 72% (25)
Fair odds · Pruszkowski
Model 67% · 1.49vsMarket 65% · 1.54· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 51%Total ~79 pts
3-1
26%
3-0
25%
3-2
17%
1-3
13%
2-3
12%
Elo Gap+161
H2H14-5
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+161)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (14-5)