5 Aug · 20:30 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
MK
🇵🇱Marcin Kowalczyk
ELO 1388
FormLWWWW
62%Win chancemodel fair 1.61Szlubowski
DS
🇵🇱Dariusz Szlubowski
ELO 1502
FormWWLWL
38%
62%
🔥 Underdog lean · Kowalczyk🌟Szlubowski goes over total as favourite 77% (13)
Fair odds · Szlubowski
Model 62% · 1.61vsMarket 59% · 1.68· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 47%Total ~76 pts
1-3
24%
0-3
23%
2-3
15%
3-1
15%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+114
H2H18-8
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+114)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (18-8)