5 Aug · 20:10 MESZMedium · Model Lean
PS
🇵🇱Piotr Strus
ELO 1323
FormLLLWL
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Strus
KM
🇵🇱Kacper Marchlewski
ELO 1274
FormLLLLW
55%
45%
🌟Strus rarely covers set handicap as favourite 7% (14)
Fair odds · Strus
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 48% · 2.08· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~77 pts
3-1
22%
1-3
18%
3-0
18%
3-2
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+49
H2H5-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+49)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (5-0)