5 Aug · 21:30 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
MM
🇵🇱Michal Machelski
ELO 1504
FormWWLWW
79%Win chancemodel fair 1.27Machelski
AB
🇵🇱Aleksander Barton
ELO 1209
FormLLLLL
79%
21%
⚡ Cover lean · Machelski🌟Barton stays under total as underdog 69% (48)
Fair odds · Machelski
Model 79% · 1.27vsMarket 74% · 1.36· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 62%Total ~73 pts
3-0
34%
3-1
29%
3-2
16%
2-3
9%
1-3
8%
Elo Gap+295
H2H18-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+295)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (18-2)