5 Aug · 21:20 MESZMedium · Model Lean
KM
🇵🇱Kacper Marchlewski
ELO 1267
FormLLLLL
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Wisniewski
BW
🇵🇱Bartlomiej Wisniewski
ELO 1336
FormWWWWL
42%
58%
Fair odds · Wisniewski
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 41% · 2.43· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~78 pts
1-3
23%
0-3
18%
3-1
17%
2-3
17%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+69
H2H6-7
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+69)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)