5 Aug · 21:10 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
JP
🇵🇱Jakub Pruszkowski
ELO 1583
FormLWWLW
70%Win chancemodel fair 1.43Pruszkowski
JN
🇵🇱Jakub Nowak
ELO 1387
FormLLLWW
70%
30%
🌟Nowak goes over total as underdog 62% (37)
Fair odds · Pruszkowski
Model 70% · 1.43vsMarket 73% · 1.37· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 56%Total ~77 pts
3-0
30%
3-1
26%
3-2
15%
2-3
12%
1-3
11%
Elo Gap+196
H2H51-27
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+196)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (51-27)