5 Aug · 21:35 MESZMedium · Model Lean
MB
🇵🇱Mariusz Baron
ELO 1450
FormWLLLW
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Juszczyk
KJ
🇵🇱Krzysztof Juszczyk
ELO 1492
FormLWLWW
45%
55%
🌟Baron covers set handicap as underdog 64% (36)
Fair odds · Juszczyk
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 43% · 2.31· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~78 pts
1-3
21%
3-1
18%
0-3
17%
2-3
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+42
H2H8-11
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+42)