5 Aug · 22:30 MESZLow · Coin Flip
WG
🇵🇱Wojciech Gluszek
ELO 1261
FormWLLLW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Marchlewski
KM
🇵🇱Kacper Marchlewski
ELO 1267
FormLLLLL
49%
51%
🌟Gluszek rarely covers set handicap as underdog 31% (13)
Fair odds · Marchlewski
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 50% · 2.02· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~77 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
20%
3-2
16%
0-3
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+6
H2H1-1
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.