5 Aug · 22:20 MESZLow · Slight Edge
KD
🇵🇱Kamil Delikatny
ELO 1472
FormLLLLW
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Machelski
MM
🇵🇱Michal Machelski
ELO 1498
FormLWWLW
47%
53%
🌟Machelski covers set handicap as favourite 64% (14)
Fair odds · Machelski
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 44% · 2.26· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~76 pts
1-3
21%
3-1
19%
0-3
17%
3-2
15%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+26
H2H12-11
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.