Aleksander Barton vs Mateusz Baran — TT Elite Series

← TT Elite Series predictions

05 Aug · 21:55 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct

🇵🇱Aleksander Barton

ELO 1184

1-3Final setsBaran won

🇵🇱Mateusz Baran

ELO 1540

What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Baran at 82%. The actual result was Mateusz Baran 1-3 — the pick was correct.

Aleksander Barton — profile →Mateusz Baran — profile →Head-to-head →

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner

Baran favoured — closing 1.45

Favourite won

Set handicap

Baran −1.5 sets

Covered

Points handicap

Baran −5.5 points

Covered

Total sets 4.5

over / under

Under

Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Aleksander Barton is favoured to win, below means Mateusz Baran.

▲ Aleksander Bartonpre 18% → final 1%

Mateusz Baran ▼

Biggest swing 43 pts72 points · 4 games