6 Aug · 01:10 MESZMedium · Model Lean
AB
🇵🇱Adrian Burkacki
ELO 1387
FormWLLLL
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Baron
MB
🇵🇱Mariusz Baron
ELO 1442
FormLLWLL
44%
56%
🌟Baron rarely covers set handicap as favourite 33% (46)
Fair odds · Baron
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 52% · 1.94· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~78 pts
1-3
22%
0-3
18%
3-1
17%
2-3
16%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+55
H2H5-7
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+55)