6 Aug · 01:45 MESZMedium · Model Lean
WG
🇵🇱Wojciech Gluszek
ELO 1249
FormLLWLL
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Golaszewski
KG
🇵🇱Kuba Golaszewski
ELO 1325
FormWWWLW
42%
58%
🌟Gluszek rarely covers set handicap as underdog 31% (13)
Fair odds · Golaszewski
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 55% · 1.81· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~83 pts
1-3
23%
0-3
19%
2-3
17%
3-1
17%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+76
H2H2-4
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+76)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)