6 Aug · 04:35 MESZMedium · Model Lean
TK
🇵🇱Tomasz Kordaszewski
ELO 1448
FormLLLLL
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Zmijewski
AZ
🇵🇱Artur Zmijewski
ELO 1512
FormLWLWW
43%
57%
Fair odds · Zmijewski
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 84% · 1.19· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~73 pts
1-3
22%
0-3
18%
3-1
17%
2-3
17%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+64
H2H1-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+64)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)