6 Aug · 02:00 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
WU
🇵🇱Wojciech Urban
ELO 1488
FormWWLWW
61%Win chancemodel fair 1.64Urban
AB
🇵🇱Adrian Burkacki
ELO 1384
FormLWLLL
61%
39%
🌟Urban rarely covers set handicap as favourite 30% (33)
Fair odds · Urban
Model 61% · 1.64vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 46%Total ~80 pts
3-1
24%
3-0
22%
1-3
15%
3-2
15%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+104
H2H13-3
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+104)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (13-3)