6 Aug · 02:20 MESZLow · Coin Flip
MM
🇵🇱Michal Machelski
ELO 1492
FormWLLWL
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Machelski
KD
🇵🇱Kamil Delikatny
ELO 1490
FormWWWLL
50%
50%
🌟Machelski covers set handicap as favourite 64% (14)
Fair odds · Machelski
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 84% · 1.19· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~75 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
20%
2-3
16%
3-0
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+2
H2H12-12
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.