6 Aug · 02:10 MESZLow · Coin Flip
KM
🇵🇱Kacper Marchlewski
ELO 1272
FormLLWWW
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Marchlewski
WG
🇵🇱Wojciech Gluszek
ELO 1268
FormWWLLW
50%
50%
🌟Gluszek rarely covers set handicap as underdog 31% (13)
Fair odds · Marchlewski
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 30% · 3.33· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~78 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
20%
2-3
16%
3-0
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+4
H2H2-1
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.