6 Aug · 03:30 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
MM
🇵🇱Michal Machelski
ELO 1486
FormLWLLW
78%Win chancemodel fair 1.28Machelski
AB
🇵🇱Aleksander Barton
ELO 1199
FormLLLLL
78%
22%
⚡ Cover lean · Machelski🌟Barton stays under total as underdog 69% (48)
Fair odds · Machelski
Model 78% · 1.28vsMarket 83% · 1.21· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 62%Total ~75 pts
3-0
34%
3-1
28%
3-2
16%
2-3
9%
1-3
8%
Elo Gap+287
H2H19-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+287)
- ✓Better recent form (2-3)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (19-2)