6 Aug · 03:10 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
WU
🇵🇱Wojciech Urban
ELO 1480
FormLLWWL
60%Win chancemodel fair 1.67Pruszkowski
JP
🇵🇱Jakub Pruszkowski
ELO 1575
FormLWWLL
40%
60%
🌟Urban covers set handicap as underdog 68% (19)
Fair odds · Pruszkowski
Model 60% · 1.67vsMarket 64% · 1.56· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 45%Total ~79 pts
1-3
23%
0-3
22%
3-1
16%
2-3
15%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+95
H2H75-33
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+95)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (75-33)