6 Aug · 05:05 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
MW
🇵🇱Miroslaw Warzecha
ELO 1675
FormWWWWW
70%Win chancemodel fair 1.43Warzecha
MM
🇵🇱Michal Machelski
ELO 1489
FormWLWLL
70%
30%
🌟Machelski covers set handicap as underdog 65% (17)
Fair odds · Warzecha
Model 70% · 1.43vsMarket 71% · 1.40· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 52%Total ~76 pts
3-1
27%
3-0
25%
3-2
17%
1-3
12%
2-3
11%
Elo Gap+186
H2H64-13
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+186)
- ✓Better recent form (5-0)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (64-13)