6 Aug · 04:20 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
AB
🇵🇱Adrian Burkacki
ELO 1391
FormWWLLW
65%Win chancemodel fair 1.54Lebek
ML
🇵🇱Marian Lebek
ELO 1533
FormLLWLL
35%
65%
Fair odds · Lebek
Model 65% · 1.54vsMarket 65% · 1.53· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 49%Total ~78 pts
1-3
25%
0-3
24%
2-3
16%
3-1
14%
3-2
13%
Elo Gap+142
H2H22-13
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+142)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (22-13)