6 Aug · 04:20 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
WS
🇵🇱Witold Stechly
ELO 1186
FormLLLLW
79%Win chancemodel fair 1.27Machelski
MM
🇵🇱Michal Machelski
ELO 1489
FormWLWLL
21%
79%
🌟Machelski covers set handicap as favourite 64% (14)
Fair odds · Machelski
Model 79% · 1.27vsMarket 80% · 1.26· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 63%Total ~75 pts
0-3
34%
1-3
29%
2-3
16%
3-2
9%
3-1
8%
Elo Gap+303
H2H17-7
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+303)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (17-7)