Mariusz Baron vs Marian Lebek — TT Elite Series

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06 Aug · 01:35 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed

🇵🇱Mariusz Baron

ELO 1471

3-0Final setsBaron won

🇵🇱Marian Lebek

ELO 1533

What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Lebek at 60%. The actual result was Mariusz Baron 3-0 — the underdog won.

Mariusz Baron — profile →Marian Lebek — profile →Head-to-head →

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner

Marian Lebek favoured — closing 1.45

Upset

Total 75.5

52 points played

Under

Set handicap

Marian Lebek −1.5 sets

No cover

Points handicap

Marian Lebek −5.5 points

No cover

Total sets 4.5

over / under

Under

Exact score

market priced 3-0 at close

Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Mariusz Baron is favoured to win, below means Marian Lebek.

▲ Mariusz Baronpre 36% → final 93%

Marian Lebek ▼

Biggest swing 57 ptsBaron recovered from 36%51 points · 3 games