6 Aug · 06:00 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
AB
🇵🇱Adrian Burkacki
ELO 1385
FormLWWLL
61%Win chancemodel fair 1.64Urban
WU
🇵🇱Wojciech Urban
ELO 1484
FormWLLLW
39%
61%
🌟Urban rarely covers set handicap as favourite 30% (33)
Fair odds · Urban
Model 61% · 1.64vsMarket 68% · 1.48· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 46%Total ~80 pts
1-3
24%
0-3
22%
3-1
15%
2-3
15%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+99
H2H13-4
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+99)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (13-4)